Beware the Statistical Analysis of March
Written by PENSBLOG STAFF   
Monday, 15 March 2010 09:27

http://lh6.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S5UCAwCV66I/AAAAAAAAwXI/H2xCKEwigmA/davidcopperfield.jpg


11

http://lh6.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S54eP_A8J_I/AAAAAAAAw64/v_56FWQQhi0/Picture%209.png

Again, for those late to the show...
the magic number is how many points the Pens need to clinch a playoff spot.

They need to be above the ninth seed.
Below are the point totals if every team wins out.

We aren't messing with tiebreakers.
So we're just playing it safe with 1 point extra.

wsh127
pit 113
buf 112
njd 113
ott 105
phi 104
bos 102
mtl 100
nyr 97
fla 96
tbl 96
atl 95
car 92
nyi 91
tor 84

How scary is it that Toronto and the Isles are about 4 or 5 wins away from being talked about?
A stupid penalty here and a soft goal there all add up over the season.

And this got us thinking.

Here are some stats.
Two things to look at before analyzing this shit:

-- One-goal-game winning percentages
-- OT/Shootout records

We don't care about the Western Conference until late May.

First up is the one-goal-game winning percentages:
(Red dots are current playoff teams)
http://lh5.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S54vsMxS_1I/AAAAAAAAw7c/7zopSM3eJfE/Picture%2013.png
Wow. Playoff team city.
We're never underestimating the "record in one-goal games" stat ever again.
We say that without caring whether or not this year is an anomaly in NHL history.


And then here are the OT/Shootout records:
http://lh5.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S54yFIbWQyI/AAAAAAAAw8U/r8DDJ_5HRdQ/Picture%2016.png
All 8 playoff teams are at least one game under .500 or better.
Can't be a coincidence.


Some interesting shit:

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/nyi.png
-- The only non-playoff team above .500 in OT/SO. (12W - 9L)
-- The highest one-goal-game winning percentage overall of non-playoff teams.
-- 36 games have been one-goal affairs. Dogfights.
-- They've lost 11 one-goal games in regulation. They've lost 9 in OT/Shootout.

-- Turn around a couple wins in regulation and a couple OTs, the Isles would be in business.
(This relates to all of the fringe playoff teams obviously.)

Their 4-11 record in one-goal regulation games is a joke.*
But they're inching their way.

Glad we did this stat breakdown.
Mark it down: Isles are in the playoffs next year.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/bos.png
-- Have played 38 one-goal games.
*Record in one-goal regulation games: 4-11.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/atl.png
-- 39 one-goal games. Most in the Eastern conference.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/mon.png
-- Have played 38 one-goal games.
-- They sneak in with a 15-6 OT/SO record.
-- *Their possible downfall? A vomitous 4-13 record in one-goal regulation games.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/nyr.png




-- Record at home in OT/SO: ( 0-6 )
What a joke.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/pens.png
-- Record on the road in OT/SO: ( 7-2 )
Not a joke.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/wsh.png





-- 9-9 in OT/SO. 7-8 in one-goal regulation games.
Very interesting. Not the record you'd expect.

And then add in this stat, which isn't available in those tables above.
-- Caps are 11-0 in two-goal games. (only undefeated team in the league, let alone the East.)
And they are 19-6 in three-goal-or-more games, tops in the East. ( Buffalo is next at 11-7.)

30 of the Caps 46 wins have been comfortable wins (by 2 goals or 3-or-more goals).
That's 65%, essentially two-thirds.

Statistically speaking, are the Caps the horse to take when the action gets tighter in the playoffs?
Just saying.

And finally...

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/200910/logos/pens.png

http://lh6.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S54x9G4zdxI/AAAAAAAAw8I/_gPbI1jMEs0/s512/Picture%2015.png

The Pens have been shutout 5 times this year.
Look at the teams around them.
No clue what it means.

But we know what that red zero means.
Only team in the NHL to have not recorded a shutout this year.

Guess what.
It's coming on Wednesday.

http://lh6.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S55DvkeNQFI/AAAAAAAAw9g/YH_81fGLrS4/mafted.jpg


Comments (21)
 
Thunder Rolls. PENS WIN
Written by PENSBLOG STAFF   
Sunday, 14 March 2010 20:42

pens2
tbl1


Going into to the third period, it all looked too familiar.
The thoughts of last year's five-game season-saving road trip started to settle in, but for all the wrong reason: Could this five-game road trip be the collapse of this year's Penguins?

Not even close.

The Pens got yet another huge goal from Pascal Dupuis.
And a vintage blast from Sarge Gonchar.

If that goal didn't catapult you out of your seat, nothing will.

MAF was stellar, and the penalty kill came through....and so did the powerplay.

With all the struggles of the powerplay, the penalty kill is this year's best-kept secret.

On the road, under five minutes to play, clinging to a one-goal lead, shorthanded...
the penalty kill again rose to the occasion.

Couple that with the fact that the Pens also got a huge powerplay goal, and you can walk away from this game with a good feeling.

They also won the game without Evgeni Malkin in the third.
He took a shot off his foot and did not return.

And now the Pens head back to New Jersey, for one last game with the Devils.

Bring it.
 
GAMEDAY 69 - LIGHTNING
Written by Penguins Experience   
Sunday, 14 March 2010 10:59

5:00 PM

St. Pete Times Forum

Listen to the game at [WXDX]

Know the Enemy:


The road trip hasn't been going all that well so far.

A game in Tampa Bay is a good chance to get back on the winning track, unless the Pens are looking past this game to the Devils and Bruins games coming up.

Ryan Malone will not play today.
We heard a rumor that he has an upper body injury from carrying his wallet for too long.

Antero Niittymaki will be in net for the "Bolts":
 
Video: Don Cherry Loses His Mind Over Matt Cooke Hit
Written by PENSBLOG STAFF   
Sunday, 14 March 2010 00:15


If we were actually surprised or mad about what Don Cherry has to say, we shouldn't be running a blog anymore.
The only interesting thing from this shit show was Cherry actually said he had a run in with Cooke last year after a game in the Eastern Conference Finals.

We said what we had to say this week about the Cooke hit, so whatev.
We also thought Rob Rossi actually made sense for the first time all year:

If players aren't comfortable with the possibility of serious head injuries, if they don't like it that violence has been and will be a part of the NHL, they should consider switching professions.
Danger is part of the deal. [TRIB]

Also, there seems to be some notion that Malkin and Crosby should be afraid of the Bruins taking cheap shots at them on Thursday.
First off, Crosby and Malkin probably aren't afraid of anyone. If they were, they wouldn't be in the NHL.

Secondly, Cherry alluded to it, and it was brought up about Bill Guerin speaking up about the Cooke hit. We wouldn't be surprised if Guerin is the first player to Cooke's defense on Thursday.

Go Pens.










Comments (34)
 
<< Start < Prev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Next > End >>

Page 1 of 223

http://lh4.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S3sppRwXm_I/AAAAAAAAvDM/XtEPNGo_X_g/Picture%2024.png

Rinkotology now has its own blog.  Follow the development of the 2010 NHL Playoffs version.  Have an idea to make the game better?  Leave it in the comments at rinkotology.blogspot.com

Search

Follow Us



http://lh4.ggpht.com/_fw7iF68JR8k/S5Ko-F85qAI/AAAAAAAAwJI/7QUE57SyAoM/2713527.jpg


Click to access our Picasa Web Albums.
Browse pics and reader-submitted photoshops.

http://www.thepensblog.com/images/stories/iphone.png

Do you like online betting?

At the end of the NHL season, look to Sportsbetting3.com for the best Stanely Cup betting alternatives. Then, as the fall draws near, you can enjoy the best NFL betting sites at SB3 as well. Looking to relax and play blackjack? Jaxcasinos.com has the finest selction of online casinos and gaming guides.

About Bloguin

Bloguin is the revolutionary blog network specifically focused on helping bloggers get the most out of their websites. We're currently working on building a large network of online communities and hope to expand our blogging coverage to include a wide range of topics.

Advertisers

The Bloguin Network allows advertisers to promote their products and services to our ever-growing number of visitors. We offer both site-specific ad placements as well as the ability to run a network-wide campaign. If you're interested in working with Bloguin to meet your advertising needs, please contact us.

Most-Wanted List

The Bloguin Network is always looking to expand. Here are some of our high-priority areas that we're specifically looking to grow. If you're a blogger and interested in joining our network, please fill out our application form.

  1. NBA/Basketball Blogs
  2. NFL Blogs
  3. Major League Baseball Blogs

The Bloguin Login

The Bloguin Login gives you full access to everything our network has to offer. Your name and password will work for each and every one of our sites. Signing up is simple, and will allow you to post in all our forums, create member blogs, and access other cool features! What are you waiting for? Create an Account!